Service Plays Thursday 7/7/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Reds Open Crucial Series At Milwaukee Brewers
By: Jeff Grant

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-115, 9)

The National League Central race is one of the tightest in baseball as the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers begin an important four-game series Thursday night at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 5:10 (PT).

Cincinnati enters with a 7-2 record in the season series against Milwaukee, including wins in two of three meetings from April 25-27 at Miller Park. In fact, the Reds are a dominating 18-5 the last two seasons against the Brewers.

The club has enjoyed great success against the entire division recently, posting a 24-16 mark heading into its series finale against St. Louis Wednesday, while also tallying a 119-80 record the last three years.

Reds starting pitcher Homer Bailey (3-3, 3.64 ERA) is still looking to regain his early season form, losing both of his starts since his return from the disabled list with a right shoulder impingement. In those outings, he has allowed eight runs (seven earned) and 17 hits over 12 innings.

Bailey will also be searching for his first career victory against the Brewers, coming in with an 0-2 record and 5.36 ERA. The right-hander has yet to record a decision at Miller Park, compiling a respectable 3.09 ERA in 11 2/3 innings.

The former first-round selection will likely be cautious facing Milwaukee All-Star first baseman Prince Fielder, who is 5-for-14 with a home run and three RBIs. He has had better success against another player that will represent the NL in the Midsummer Classic, limiting outfielder Ryan Braun to five hits in 20 at bats (.250).

Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Reds are 13-3 versus divisional foes when Bailey is on the hill.

Milwaukee hadn’t lost consecutive home games until dropping Tuesday's 7-3 contest, but still possessed the NL’s best home record (29-13) entering its third game of a seven-game homestand.

Braun and Fielder represent a dynamic offensive duo, leading the majors with 133 combined RBIs. Make sure to check the injury report before the series opener, as Braun has missed four straight games with a left calf injury.

Brewers left-hander Chris Narveson (5-5, 4.86 ERA) is scheduled to make his 18th start of the season and the club has won back-to-back games with him on the hill. He comes off a rough outing after allowing seven runs and a season-high 14 hits in 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision road effort against the Twins.

Narveson has been a respectable option at home, posting a 4-2 record and 3.91 ERA, surrendering just two home runs in 46 frames.

He will be aiming for his first lifetime win versus the Reds, going 0-3 with a 7.06 ERA in six career games (four starts), including 0-2 with a 17.05 ERA in two outings this year.

Reds left-handed batters Jay Bruce and Joey Votto have caused plenty of problems for the southpaw, combining to go 9-for-15 with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Weather forecasts suggest game-time highs in the low-70s and a slight northeasterly breeze of 5-10 mph. The Miller Park roof is likely to be open throughout the contest and the ‘over’ has cashed in two of three games given the expected wind conditions.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Philip Humber (8-4, 2.69 ERA), Chicago White Sox

Humber won’t be a part of the AL All-Star game and he probably has grounds to be a little put off about it.

He goes for his seventh win in eight tries on Thursday and has been incredibly consistent so far with 13 quality starts in 16 starting outings. Oh, he also owns a WHIP of 0.98.

The 6-foot-3 righty blanked the Cubs over seven innings in a 1-0 win the last time he climbed the hill.

Carlos Villanueva (5-1, 3.24 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

Villanueva is 4-1 with a 4.13 ERA since taking over Jesse Litsch’s spot in the rotation and Jays bettors are loving it when he toes the rubber.

Toronto is 6-2 in his starts and he has four consecutive quality starts heading into Thursday’s matchup against the Cleveland Indians. Even though Toronto is 7-20 in its last 27 games in Cleveland, the Jays are set as -120 favorites.


SLUMPING

J.A. Happ, (3-10, 5.63 ERA), Houston Astros

Happ didn’t get off to a good start in his last outing, allowing the first five Red Sox he faced to reach base. He ended up giving up five runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 10-4 loss, marking the third consecutive start in which he has allowed five runs.

Right now, only Ubaldo Jimenez has lost more cash for baseball bettors. The Astros are 3-14 in his starts, putting his supporters down 10.38 units.

Derek Holland (6-4, 5.10 ERA), Texas Rangers

Consistency is Holland’s main issue – possibly apart from anger management.

"When I came out of the game, I was ready to break something," Holland told reporters following his latest loss, getting the hook after allowing five runs in two-thirds of an inning against Florida. "There's no doubt about it, I was very frustrated. At the same time, I've got to be ready for tomorrow.”

Over bettors have cashed in on seven of his last eight starts and he has allowed at least four runs in five of those outings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-170, 9.5)

All eyes are on Yankees captain Derek Jeter as the club returns to the Bronx hoping to witness his 3000th hit. After picking up one hit Wednesday night, he's just three away from the big number.

For his part, Tampa Bay Rays manager Joe Maddon has already went on the record saying that he expects Jeter to reach the milestone against his team.

"There’s still going to be this energy bubble," Maddon told reporters. "It’s strong enough (at Yankee Stadium) to begin with. Every night is like a playoff game there. It is. It’s awesome, and I think it’s great."

But will this sideshow distract the Yankees? Probably not, though you have to wonder what Yanks manager Joe Girardi was thinking when he hinted he might sit Jeter Wednesday in Cleveland.

There isn’t much value in betting the Yanks in Game 1 of the series, but these teams have played over the total in 15 of their last 21 meetings. Both teams will be jacked up for this on and with Tampa Bay coming off a huge comeback win, we’ll jump on that trend.

PICK: Over


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-175, 5.5)

Tough call here.

Jered Weaver has absolutely owned the Mariners, with L.A. winning seven of his last eight tilts with the M’s and his last eight home starts against Seattle.

Meanwhile, the Mariners have played under in six straight games and moving the under to 37-16-3 in the team’s last 56 games, but these 5.5-run totals are no fun to deal with.

Still, it’s warranted in this spot. Both clubs are averaging well under four runs per game and with the underrated Doug Fister (three earned runs against in his last 25 innings) taking the hill, we’re banking on this one ducking under the low number.

The Mariners are averaging just 2.5 runs in Fister’s starts – hence his 3-9 record even though his ERA is 3.02.

PICK: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday’s Betting Tips: Rookie SP Debuts For Tribe

Who's Hot

MLB: The over is 13-3 in Florida’s last 16 meetings with Houston.

MLB: The New York Mets are 17-7 in their last 24 games as an underdog.

Who’s Not

MLB: Baltimore had won only one of its eight heading into Wednesday’s action.

MLB: Kansas City has won four of its last 14 home games.

Key Stat

.178 – Atlanta Braves second baseman Dan Uggla went into Wednesday’s game with a .178 batting average after going 2-for-2 with a homer the night before. Uggla, who signed a $62 million contract with the Braves, hit .287 with 33 homers and 105 RBIs with Florida last season. The Braves are hitting only .237 (26th in the bigs).

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Placido Polanco, Philadelphia Phillies – Polanco will meet with a spinal cord specialist Thursday in Philadelphia after sitting out Tuesday and Wednesday with a pinched nerve in his back. The team hopes he’ll return to action by the weekend, but that will all depend on how Thursday’s meeting goes.

Game Of The Day

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-180, 9.5)

Notable Quotable

"We have to win this game. We're going to work 30 percent on defense and 70 percent on attack." – Costa Rica coach Ricardo La Volpe about Thursday’s matchup with Bolivia following the side’s opening loss to Columbia at Copa America. Costa Rico is set as a +260 underdog with the draw at +215 and Bolivia at -105.

Tips And Notes

Zach McAllister will make his MLB debut Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays after being called up from Triple-A Columbus. The 6-foot-6 righty gets his shot with Fausto Carmona hitting the DL and his numbers looked pretty good in the minors. He was 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA and had 71 strikeouts and 21 walks in 97 innings of work with Columbus.

Oddsmakers have the hometown German side listed as a -125 favorite to win the Women’s World Cup after the group stage finished up with Wednesday’s action. The U.S., which suffered a disappointing 2-1 loss to Sweden on Wednesday to drop them to second place in their group are listed at +450, as is Brazil. The U.S. and Brazil will square off in the quarterfinals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

671- 507 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Thurs: Yankees -170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Dodgers sent Hondo plunging even deeper into the abyss last night when they stumbled against the Metamucils to lift the NRN (nasty red nu meral) to 1,615 aparicios.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch feels that Humber will shut down the Twins' lumber because he has their num ber -- 10 units on the Pale Hose.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Reds -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Texas

The A's look to build on their 9-0 record in Rich Harden's last 9 starts with 5 days rest. Oakland is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
<table width="538" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">THURSDAY, JULY 7
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Colorado at Atlanta (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.089; Atlanta (Hudson) 16.080
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 15.606; Washington (Hernandez) 14.023
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: Houston at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 14.602; Florida (Hand) 15.691
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.001; Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 15.281; St. Louis (McClellan) 14.256
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.750; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.179
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 15.631; San Francisco (Zito) 15.285
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.376; NY Yankees (Colon) 16.752
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 917-918: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 15.172; Cleveland (McAllister) 16.449
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2 ; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 919-920: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 12.964; Boston (Miller) 15.748
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 921-922: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.428; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.303
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.965; White Sox (Humber) 14.498
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 15.206; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.807
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 927-928: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Harden) 16.125; Texas (Holland) 15.064
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[mojohnny2]

Carolina Sports Connection
10 Unit Cincinatti Reds +110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -155 over Twins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

BotafogoRJ + AtleticoGO OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -155 over Twins

 

[jdsabre]

ultimate

under cards

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Braves(RL)
Cubs
Tigers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. Arizona and St.Louis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Thursday ML Baseball

ANGELS WEAVER -R -175 over Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, July 7

Hot pitchers
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 2.53 in his last three starts. LHernandez is 1-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- Saunders is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Kershaw is 3-0, 0.79 in his last four home starts.
-- Zito is 2-0, 1.38 in two starts since coming off the DL. San Diego won both Luebke starts (1-0, 0.00. 11 IP).

-- Colon is 4-0, 1.00 in his last four starts. Tampa Bay won last three Niemann starts (2-0, 3.60), scoring 27 runs.
-- Toronto won four of Villanueva's five road starts.
-- Miller is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Humber is 5-1, 2.28 in his last seven starts.
-- Weaver is 3-0, 0.87 in his last four starts. Fister has a 1.08 RA in his last three starts, but no wins in his last six. Seattle scored two or less runs in 13 of his 17 starts.
-- Harden, who pitched for Texas LY, allowed two runs in six IP in his first '11 start, a 5-4 win over Arizona.

Cold pitchers
-- Nicasio is 0-1, 7.47 in his three road starts.
-- Happ is 0-6, 6.99 in his last nine starts. Hand is 0-3, 5.00 in four starts for Florida.
-- Bailey is 0-3, 5.43 in his last four starts. Narveson has a 6.55 RA in his last four starts.
-- Cardinals lost last five McClellan starts (0-4, 7.67).
-- Gee is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.

-- McAllister is making first MLB start; he was 8-3, 2.97 in 15 starts at the AAA level.
-- Arrieta is 1-2, 5.94 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 0-2, 9.60 in his last three starts. Duffy is 1-3, 5.58 in his last six starts.
-- Pavano is 0-1, 5.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Holland has an 8.54 RA in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Washington's last fifteen games.
-- Last five Happ starts went over the total.
-- Five of Brewers' last six games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven St Louis home games.
-- Four of Dodgers' last five home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in Giants' last seven home games.

-- Six of last eight Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- tor-clev
-- Over is 12-3-2 in last seventeen games at Fenway Park.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in White Sox' last eight home games.
-- Under is 11-4 in Seattle's last fifteen road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Texas games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won four of its last five games.
-- Giants won nine of their last thirteen games. Padres won six of their last eight games.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last nine games. Arizona won four of its last six games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Mets won seven of their last eight road games.

-- Red Sox won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto won four of its last six road games. Indians are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last ten games. Rays are 5-2 in their last seven games road games.
-- Twins won six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Royals won three of their last four games.
-- Mariners won four of their last five games. Angels won ten of their last twelve games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Astros lost eight of their last twelve road games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine games. Reds lost four of last six.
-- Rockies lost nine of last twelve games, including last six on road.
-- Dodgers lost 11 of their last 14 games.

-- Orioles lost 17 of their last 22 road games.
-- Oakland lost nine of its last fourteen games.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last ten road games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

4* L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) -140 over N.Y. Mets (Gee)
Range: -125 to -160

3* Tampa Bay (Niemann)/N.Y. Yankees (Colon) UNDER 9.5
Range: 10 to 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Todays Picks

Padres

Blue Jays